A new book by political historian John B. Giudice and Ruy Teixeira Democrats say they are losing an important voting base — working-class minorities.
Two decades ago, Giudice and Teixeira published a book in which they claimed that the “emerging democratic majority” consisted of the working class, minorities, youth, women, and educated professionals.
But in their new book, Where Have All the Democrats Gone?: The Soul of the Party in an Age of Extremism, Giudice and Teixeira argue that Democrats have “steadily lost the loyalty of ‘ordinary Americans’ — the working and middle classes.” Voters from the class that was at the heart of the older New Deal coalition.”
“Initially, most of these voters were white, but in recent elections, Democrats have also begun to lose support among working-class Latino and Asian voters as well,” they wrote.
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“Democrats continued to enjoy huge margins among black voters, but even here, those margins in 2020 were down by 5 points compared to 2016,” they continued. “In 2022, Democrats lost more ground among Black voters, doubling their losses since 2020.”
Part of the reason, they say, is the changing political landscape under former President Donald Trump, as well as the left’s embrace of what conservatives call woke politics.
“What has begun to happen in the past decade is a clear and simple defection of working-class voters,” they wrote. “This is something we didn’t really expect when we wrote ‘The Emerging Democratic Majority.’ Losing working-class voters, who make up the vast majority of the electorate, could undermine Democrats’ chances not only of becoming the majority party, but of being able to Competition with the Republican Party.
“We believe Democrats need to look in the mirror and examine how their failures have contributed to the most toxic trends on the political right.”
Giudice and Teixeira spoke about the Democratic Party’s losses among non-white and working-class Americans in a recent interview with Time magazine.
Teixeira said Trump has found a way to exploit Democrats’ weaknesses in a way that still benefits him in the 2024 presidential election, where he remains the front-runner.
“But another transition point will arrive in 2020,” Teixeira said. “This has been building for a while, the defection of non-white working-class voters from the Democratic Party.
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“We can see in the polling data collected in the last year or two that Democrats’ vulnerabilities among non-white voters, especially working-class Hispanic and black voters, are very large,” Teixeira continued.
“They kind of realize that this is a problem. On the other hand, they’re very caught up in this whole trend of cultural issues. They’re worried about backlash on social media and from college-educated ‘liberal’ voters.” who have become an increasingly loyal base of the Democratic Party.
“Trump got it, and he played it. He continues to play it. He continues to get votes on it. Democrats are oblivious to it.”
Giudice and Teixeira aren’t the only ones sounding the alarm about the problems facing the Democratic Party.
Sen. Bernie Sanders, R-Vermont, gave a speech at Saint Anselm College in August, urging Democrats to focus on economic issues or risk losing the 2024 election.
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“It should be very concerning that according to recent polls, Democrats are losing support within Latino communities and even among African-American men,” he said. “This must change, not only for the well-being of the Democratic Party, but for the future of our country.”
A July Times/Siena poll showed Biden leading Trump by just 16 points among nonwhite, non-college-educated voters.