Americans don’t want a rematch between Trump and Biden in 2024, so why does this seem inevitable? – LSB

Garima
9 Min Read


Voters on the ground and in opinion polls continue to say “no” to a potential rematch between President Biden and former President Donald Trump in the general election next November.

Only 32% of all voters are excited for Biden to become the party’s nominee, and 37% of all voters are excited for Trump to become the GOP’s nominee, according to a September Monmouth University poll.

“Voters are unhappy with both candidates,” said Carly Cooperman, a 20-year Democratic strategist and pollster. “A majority of voters on both sides of the aisle say they want other options.”

Despite the desire for alternatives, Cooperman says a competition between Trump and Biden is a possibility Americans should prepare for in 2024.

Confidence in US presidency hits all-time low as Trump leads Biden in 2024 rematch: Poll

Donald Trump and Joe Biden

A Monmouth University poll showed that 32% of all voters are excited for Biden to become the party’s nominee, and 37% of all voters are excited for Trump to become the Republican Party’s nominee. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

“I think it’s pretty inevitable that we’ll see Biden and Trump heading toward that in 2024,” Cooperman said. “As much as people don’t want it, I think it would be very unlikely for another scenario to happen.”

Voters on the ground don’t seem to want a repeat of the 2020 election choices either. Nate Blackford of Iowa’s West Side says that although he believes the former president will be able to move the country forward, he believes Trump will lose the general election.

The poll shows Biden scoring low in approval, trailing Trump in the 2024 matchup

“That’s my only concern. I don’t know that Trump can get the votes,” Blackford said. “I think he’ll be good for our country again. I don’t think he’s the best candidate right now. If he ends up winning the Republican Party, that will be disappointing.”

Gregg, a Republican from Sioux City, Iowa, agreed, saying Trump’s name on the ballot only hurts the Republican Party.

“I think anyone whose name isn’t Trump beats Biden by a landslide,” Gregg said.

Former President Donald Trump

Greg, a Republican voter from Sioux City, Iowa, says Trump’s name on the ballot only hurts the Republican Party. (Sean Rayford/Getty Images)

Don, of Sioux City, Iowa, says Trump’s legal troubles will hurt him and believes Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis would be a better alternative.

“On every major issue, Trump has been amazing,” Dunn said. “But he carries all this baggage with him. And nothing will motivate Democratic voters more than Trump being the nominee even against Joe Biden.” “I think if we want to make real changes to government, I think we need someone like Ron.”

Daniel Weingarten of Clear Lake, Iowa, shares similarly unhappy feelings about the potential rematch and says both candidates are in a weak position to run.

A male voter in flannel speaks

Both Biden and Trump are in weak positions to run for president in 2024, says Daniel Weingarten of Clear Lake, Iowa. (Fox News)

“If a rematch between Trump and Biden happens, I think that’s just a complete loss for the country,” Weingarten said. “Trump brings a lot of baggage and makes it about himself and not about politics.” “Biden’s health and sanity appear to be in doubt.”

So why are voters left with two choices they don’t seem to want? For Biden, that’s partly because of the power that comes with holding office, says Neil Newhouse, a Republican pollster and co-founder of the polling firm Public Opinion Strategies. For Trump, his hold on some Republican voters seems unshakable.

These six battleground states could cost President Biden the White House in 2024

“It’s always difficult to replace a sitting president,” Newhouse said. “He’s probably 75 to 80 percent among Democrats. That’s enough to shut out any other type of Democratic challenger. Donald Trump has basically taken over the Republican Party. Among Republicans, we even ask in our polls, ‘Do you consider yourself more of a Republican Party follower?’ Or a follower of Donald Trump? “And he’s even basically dead.”

President Joe Biden

Weingarten says Biden’s health and sanity appear to be in question. (Kevin Deitch/Getty Images)

Cooperman says that while it is possible for another candidate to steal the Republican Party’s spotlight, at this point in the race the chances of someone other than Trump winning are slim.

“There was an expectation that someone would emerge as a stronger contender, given Trump’s negatives,” Cooperman said. “But that never took off.” “And now Nikki Haley is the latest. We’re watching very closely. She’s getting a lot of money. She’s getting a lot of attention. But I think to convince voters to leave Trump, there has to be a compelling reason to do it at the right time.” this point.”

In primary contests, Trump is ahead of Biden in five out of six battleground states, according to a New York Times-Siena poll conducted last month.

Biden to his supporters: “If Trump isn’t running, I’m not sure I will be running”

Biden suggested last week that he would not run if it were not for Trump. His support rate is 40%, while Trump’s support rate is 44%, according to a poll conducted by Fox News last month.

“Americans are unhappy because they think they should have more choices,” Newhouse said. “They look at the two candidates as two old white men aging out of existence. One they think is a fraud and the other many think is senile. They look at this as just a terrible choice.”

Lindsay, from Des Moines, Iowa, says the poor quality of the candidates is causing her and others to consider a candidate from outside the Republican and Democratic parties.

“I don’t think most Americans want to see a rematch between Trump and Biden,” Lindsay said. “But if that happens, there are other people on the ballot. I think a lot of people will exercise that right.”

A voter wearing a green shirt speaks into a Fox News microphone in front of her

Lindsay, from Des Moines, Iowa, says the poor quality of candidates is causing her and others to consider a candidate from outside the Republican Party and Democrats. (Fox News)

If any election results in a third-party candidate, it will be the 2024 election, Newhouse says.

“You have a large number of voters who don’t want either of those candidates. That gives fuel to some third-party candidates and some efforts to get someone else on the ballot as an alternative to either one of them.” “Trump or Biden,” Newhouse said.

“So, this is probably the ideal political environment for a third-party candidate to have at least as much success as Perot had at the time.”

To underscore the extent of frustration among voters at the prospect of a rematch between Biden and Trump, Newhouse pointed to one focus group he recently moderated.

“We asked: Who would you vote for?” The moderator says: “Shoot yourself in the head. Who will you vote for, Trump or Biden?” We went around the table, and one of the women said: “Bullet.”

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Not all Americans share the same radical belief, but voters are vocal about heading in a new direction.

“This may be the last election in which this generation of candidates runs, and it will be the election in which we hope we finally turn the page,” Newhouse said.

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